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  3. China's Core AI Industry Reaches 500 Billion Yuan: Current Status and Development Trends
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China's Core AI Industry Reaches 500 Billion Yuan: Current Status and Development Trends

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  • baoshi.raoB Offline
    baoshi.raoB Offline
    baoshi.rao
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    China's Core AI Industry Reaches 500 Billion Yuan

    This year, the wave of large models and artificial intelligence, represented by ChatGPT, has profoundly transformed numerous industries. Data from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology shows that China's core AI industry has reached 500 billion yuan, with over 4,400 enterprises. Innovations such as AI chips, development frameworks, and general large models continue to emerge.

    From a policy perspective, from January to October this year, many regions in China have introduced specialized AI policies, proposing goals such as "building a world-class AI industrial cluster" and "establishing a 100 billion yuan fund group."

    Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a new technical science that studies and develops theories, methods, technologies, and application systems to simulate, extend, and expand human intelligence. As a branch of computer science, AI aims to understand the essence of intelligence and create intelligent machines that can respond in ways similar to human intelligence. Research in this field includes robotics, speech recognition, image recognition, natural language processing, and expert systems. Since its inception, AI theories and technologies have matured, and their applications have expanded. It is conceivable that future AI-driven technological products will serve as "containers" of human wisdom.

    Current Status and Development Trends of the AI Industry

    The global distribution of AI enterprises is highly uneven, concentrated mainly in a few countries and regions such as the United States, Europe, and China. The top three cities—San Francisco/Bay Area, New York, and Beijing—account for 16.9%, 4.8%, and 4.0% of global enterprises, respectively. In terms of growth, the industry has generally maintained an upward trend, with a slight decline in 2015. In Europe, AI enterprises are mostly concentrated in capital cities. Among European cities, London has the highest number of enterprises, 3.1 times that of Paris, accounting for 3.69% of the global total. Japan and South Korea lag significantly behind China, with Tokyo comparable to Hangzhou and Seoul comparable to Chengdu. The top three cities in East Asia—Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen—account for 7.4% of the global total. Although still far behind the U.S., their global importance is becoming increasingly evident.

    As the core driving force of the new round of industrial transformation, AI has become a new focus of international competition and a new engine for economic development. Currently, AI is accelerating its deep integration with the real economy, facilitating industrial transformation and upgrading. After years of sustained accumulation, China has made significant progress in the AI field, with theories and technologies maturing and applications expanding. Corresponding business models are also evolving. In 2020, China's core AI industry reached 303.1 billion yuan. Today, AI is rapidly integrating with various sectors of the real economy, driving industrial transformation, upgrading, and efficiency improvements.

    The latest data indicates that China's artificial intelligence core industry continues to expand, with the number of enterprises exceeding 4,400. The deep integration of AI with manufacturing has effectively promoted the digital, intelligent, and green transformation of the real economy. Currently, nearly 10,000 digital workshops and smart factories have been established nationwide.

    At present, the AI industry is entering a period of development opportunities marked by active innovation and application expansion. From online to offline, from manufacturing to services, AI is empowering various industries, providing new momentum for high-quality economic and social development. According to data from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China's AI core industry continues to grow, with the number of enterprises surpassing 4,400, and continuous emergence of innovative achievements in intelligent chips, development frameworks, and general large models.

    1. Overview and Characteristics of China's AI Industry Development

    1.1 Broad Industrial Chain Layout with High Specialization

    In terms of industrial chain characteristics, within China's AI industry ecosystem, large companies participate extensively based on their resource capabilities, with layouts spanning the foundational, technical, and application layers. China boasts many excellent AI companies, most of which are highly specialized, focusing on technological and application research in specific niche areas. Notably, the computer vision field has gathered a large number of outstanding startups. However, there are certain differences in the relevance of AI technologies across various application scenarios.

    1.2 Predominantly B2B Business Focus

    Regarding business models, most companies primarily focus on B2B solutions and services. On one hand, B2B business emphasizes interactive cooperation with industry clients, which is more conducive to the implementation of AI technologies and products. On the other hand, industry clients have strong demands for productivity improvement, while consumer product needs still require further exploration. Nevertheless, large companies remain relatively active in their B2C product layouts.

    1.3 High Talent Costs and Significant Demand Gap

    Technically, research in machine learning algorithms, represented by deep learning, is a widely foundational capability. However, there is currently a relative shortage of domestic talent in this field, with weak mobility, leading to ultra-high costs for high-end research talent. Some companies have chosen to establish research institutes or laboratories in the United States. This indicates that, as a typical representative of knowledge-intensive industries, the AI industry faces a significant demand gap.

    1.4 Strong Support from Traditional Industries and Technologies

    In terms of products, there is still a lack of truly revolutionary offerings, with most being improvements to traditional industry products through AI technology. During this process, sectors like healthcare, equipment manufacturing, automotive, and finance have provided substantial support to the AI industry through collaborative development, facilitating the application and commercialization of AI technologies.

    II. Challenges and Countermeasures in China's AI Industry Development

    1. Analysis of Existing Problems

    From a business perspective, while some AI companies have applied relatively mature technologies to social life, the corresponding level of commercialization still needs enhancement. For example, Baidu, which previously positioned AI as a new direction for future business, has made some breakthroughs in monetizing AI services, but the full growth potential directly driven by AI has yet to be realized. Baidu's AI engine "Baidu Brain" currently supports various business lines. However, in core AI areas like autonomous vehicle development, Baidu has only obtained a testing license for driverless cars in California, USA.

    Apart from computational limitations, data scarcity was another factor slowing AI development in the past. Virtually every activity today can be recorded as data if desired. The key challenge lies in effectively utilizing this data to help AI evolve faster and better. Therefore, the first bottleneck in AI commercialization stems from data.

    The second bottleneck involves discovering and constructing more application scenarios. Some AI applications have indeed replaced human labor, even surpassing human efficiency in certain tasks. For instance, robots like AlphaGo have achieved capabilities comparable to humans in Go. However, existing AI applications cannot yet meet all societal needs. In specialized fields such as geological exploration and medical diagnosis, human expertise remains essential for evaluation and judgment.

    While AI concepts have gained public awareness in recent years, widespread application remains distant. Developing branded, hardware-software integrated AI products for mass consumption—centered around human behavior patterns in wearable, automotive, and smart home scenarios—and scaling them up represents a viable path from technology to product commercialization.

    Additionally, the third bottleneck primarily concerns R&D capabilities. Current AI technological development meets some commercialization needs but has significant room for expansion and deepening.

    In the commercialization of artificial intelligence, especially in the mobile market, the current reality is that hardware development requires more cost-effective chips and system design architectures, while software development demands exploration of algorithm training across more domains to uncover needs, along with talent that can integrate software, hardware, and applications.

    2. Countermeasure Analysis

    The focus should be on deep convolutional neural networks to drive the development and large-scale industrial application of AI products in computer vision, speech recognition, and natural language processing. This requires rapid advancements in big data, computing platforms/engines, AI algorithms, and application scenarios, as well as resources, funding, and talent. Methodologically, selecting vertical niche markets is crucial.

    For specific vertical sectors, establish big data centers to achieve data collection, cleaning, labeling, storage, management, and trading, while building public infrastructure for big data sources and vertical domain knowledge bases. Proprietary big data is the key to success in the AI industry. Chinese enterprises must prioritize the collection and utilization of big data, as its strategic importance is akin to crude oil for multinational corporations.

    Vigorously advance the R&D of AI chips and hardware platforms, including FPGA-based deep learning chips, neuromorphic chips, and memristive devices, and establish national-level AI supercomputing centers.

    Explore frontier technologies in general AI and cognitive intelligence. Strengthen interdisciplinary innovation integrating brain science, cognitive science, and psychology to drive original foundational research, supporting China's AI applications and industrial development.

    Innovate institutional mechanisms to seize the strategic high ground in AI. Enhance the national scientific and technological innovation system, reform academic and research evaluation metrics, and align with major national strategic needs and economic development priorities. System innovation should ensure technological and industrial breakthroughs, bridging the gaps between government, industry, academia, research, and application. Examples include establishing a national DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) and China's equivalent of the Alamo National Laboratory.

    AI industry research reports aim to analyze future policy trends and regulatory developments, uncover market potential, and provide in-depth insights into key segments, offering a vivid depiction of market changes in terms of industry scale, structure, regional distribution, competition, and profitability, while clarifying development directions.

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